The Planet That Refused to Follow the Rules
Kepler, the orbit of Mars and why a beautiful backtest can fall apart.
You build a model. You predict where the planets should be. And then Mars refuses to cooperate.
In the early seventeenth century, Johannes Kepler faced a small gap between prediction and observation, and it changed our understanding of the solar system. This film follows that idea from the orbit of Mars to today’s markets: how rules become experiments, why a beautiful backtest can fall apart, and what automation can and can’t fix.
A good model isn’t one that looks beautiful on paper. It’s one that survives comparison with reality.
Try the experiment on paper
Test a simple rule against real market history, with simulated money.
Narration and imagery are AI-generated, and historical scenes are artistic interpretations, not records. Charts marked illustrative are not real market data. Backtests and simulated results do not guarantee future results. Nothing in this film is financial advice. Crypto trading involves risk of loss, including all of your capital. Risk disclosure.